HornCurrent.com – News Analysis
Date: July 8, 2025
By: HornCurrent Investigative Desk
In a concerning development that could destabilize the Horn of Africa, sensitive information obtained by HornCurrent.com reveals a covert operation orchestrated by Egypt’s General Intelligence Directorate (GID), with direct cooperation from top officials in the Federal Government of Somalia. The alleged objective: to ignite armed chaos in Ethiopia ahead of a critical phase in the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) project.
According to high-level sources connected to Villa Somalia, this plot was conceived in Cairo and approved during a closed-door meeting on July 3–4, 2025, at the Egyptian intelligence headquarters. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud was in Cairo during this period, alongside Somali Intelligence Chief Mahad Salad. The meeting resulted in a coordinated plan to destabilize Ethiopia before it completes the fourth filling of the Abay Dam this coming September.
What the Plan Entails
The core objective is to disrupt security and political stability within Ethiopia, particularly in:
• The Somali Region (SRS)
• Parts of Oromia
• Benishangul-Gumuz, the region directly linked to the Nile waters
The strategy includes using guerrilla tactics and manipulating local grievances to create an image of domestic rebellion, rather than foreign interference. According to the same sources:
• A force of over 300 personnel has already been assembled, trained near Mogadishu, and misled into believing they would join Somalia’s Presidential Guard.
• These militias recruits include SRS Special Police defectors, tribal militias, ONLF former fighters , and former Jubaland fighters, coordinated by Prime Minister Hamse Abdi Barre and Mahad Salad, with logistical and financial backing from Egypt.
The group is expected to infiltrate Ethiopia disguised as civilians, launch targeted attacks, and declare the formation of a new armed movement opposing oil extraction in the Somali region. Video propaganda has already been prepared to portray this effort as a grassroots resistance campaign, rather than a foreign-sponsored act of destabilization.
Key Strategic Goals of the Operation
1. Destabilize SRS through covert terror acts and infiltration.
2. Create confusion in Ethiopia by simulating a domestic uprising.
3. Disrupt oil exploration and extraction by falsely associating it with armed resistance.
4. Link this group with other rebel factions in Oromia and elsewhere to portray Ethiopia as a failed state.
The plan also includes deployment and as strategic entry areas including Hiran, southwest, and parts of Gedo, from which cross-border incursions can be launched. Some officials within the Somali Regional Government are reportedly aware of, or complicit in, the broader objective, seeing it as a possible power shift opportunity.
Wider Implications for the Region
This development marks a dangerous escalation of regional rivalries. Egypt has long opposed Ethiopia’s GERD project, fearing it would threaten its historical share of Nile waters. By leveraging political instability within Ethiopia’s federal regions, Egypt appears to be expanding its influence through proxies, this time, exploiting vulnerabilities within Somalia.
If verified, this would constitute a blatant violation of regional sovereignty and an act of cross-border subversion. The Somali government, which has publicly affirmed its neutrality, would face international scrutiny and regional backlash.
The Ethiopian government has not officially responded to these allegations, but internal sources suggest increased intelligence monitoring and preemptive security measures are underway in the Somali, Oromia, and Benishangul regions.
To summarize
This is not just a geopolitical maneuver it is a dangerous game that risks setting the Horn of Africa ablaze. With the Abay Dam nearing completion, and internal unrest in Ethiopia still active, any foreign-backed military intervention covert or otherwise, could have catastrophic consequences for regional peace and integration.
HornCurrent.com will continue to monitor developments, verify sources, and report on further details as they emerge.
Follow HornCurrent.com for continuous updates on this developing story.
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